Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nuxeria Esport vs F9 EICAR - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4f4037c019f1c986f2508bd92d98037bab367e6754bebbe41995d69c82af09a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuxeria Esportof Nuxeria Esport, F9 EICAR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Nuxeria Esport | 52c | 1,836$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.92 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed F9 EICAR | 48c | 1,495$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.14 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed F9 EICAR | 42c | 624.11$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.84 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed F9 EICAR | 5c | 419.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked F9 EICAR | 45c | 241.75$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…6a61backed Nuxeria Esport | 70c | 228.44$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked F9 EICAR | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nuxeria Esport | 47c | 177.18$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked F9 EICAR | 11c | 113.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed F9 EICAR | 45c | 99.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked F9 EICAR | 38c | 98.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked F9 EICAR | 36c | 98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed F9 EICAR | 47c | 97.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed F9 EICAR | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed F9 EICAR | 37c | 76.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nuxeria Esport | 71c | 72.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed F9 EICAR | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Nuxeria Esport | 56c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed F9 EICAR | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nuxeria Esport | 72c | 49.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed F9 EICAR | 61c | 48.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Nuxeria Esport | 52c | 41.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Nuxeria Esport | 54c | 39.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569a…843cbacked Nuxeria Esport | 43c | 38.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed F9 EICAR | 28c | 38.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed F9 EICAR | 50c | 33.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Nuxeria Esport | 53c | 26.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b51…20ccbacked Nuxeria Esport | 79c | 21.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Nuxeria Esport | 54c | 19.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Nuxeria Esport | 74c | 17.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nuxeria Esport vs F9 EICAR - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Nuxeria Esport vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular SeasonNuxeria Esport won
- Valorant: Nuxeria Esport vs F9 EICAR - Map 1 WinnerNuxeria Esport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.