Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nuxeria Esport vs F9 EICAR - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d5b977b612af825897a5270f43f58d7f34527e8f9bb0f03711619b69d6e4373
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuxeria Esportof Nuxeria Esport, F9 EICAR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53fe…0485backed F9 EICAR | 0c | 4,267$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked F9 EICAR | 3c | 2,542$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Nuxeria Esport | 73c | 1,538$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.39 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed F9 EICAR | 46c | 646.58$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.72 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked F9 EICAR | 55c | 614.46$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.31 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…b543backed F9 EICAR | 58c | 536.14$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…b7e5backed Nuxeria Esport | 41c | 530.53$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81fb…74a4backed F9 EICAR | 57c | 451.05$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…0fd9backed Nuxeria Esport | 42c | 446.89$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nuxeria Esport | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked F9 EICAR | 51c | 175.02$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked F9 EICAR | 41c | 163.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed F9 EICAR | 42c | 123.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nuxeria Esport | 72c | 118$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed F9 EICAR | 21c | 97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked F9 EICAR | 50c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed F9 EICAR | 47c | 92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed F9 EICAR | 67c | 76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 666 | 38%253 W · 413 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed F9 EICAR | 47c | 72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed F9 EICAR | 39c | 64.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed F9 EICAR | 26c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked F9 EICAR | 47c | 56.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked F9 EICAR | 30c | 50.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Nuxeria Esport | 65c | 47.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed F9 EICAR | 27c | 46.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Nuxeria Esport | 66c | 44.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 277 | 60.6%168 W · 109 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nuxeria Esport | 27c | 44.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked F9 EICAR | 39c | 43.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked F9 EICAR | 46c | 37.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed Nuxeria Esport | 53c | 25.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Nuxeria Esport | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nuxeria Esport vs F9 EICAR - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Nuxeria Esport vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular SeasonNuxeria Esport won
- Valorant: Nuxeria Esport vs F9 EICAR - Map 2 WinnerNuxeria Esport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.