Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Western Carolina Catamounts vs. VMI Keydets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf52c1f271b7eb92341c0a8af729137c059160c9a2a7cec8bd18aa107b31a1d11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Carolina Catamountsof Western Carolina Catamounts, VMI Keydets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 80c | 1,576$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.53 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked VMI Keydets | 22c | 1,455$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.25 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked VMI Keydets | 21c | 1,230$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.31 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 79c | 1,163$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.38 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked VMI Keydets | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…b9e1backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 80c | 458.62$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.46 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 79c | 432.36$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked VMI Keydets | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 77c | 281.72$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked VMI Keydets | 8c | 257.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed VMI Keydets | 8c | 231.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked VMI Keydets | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked VMI Keydets | 20c | 174.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed VMI Keydets | 15c | 159.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed VMI Keydets | 21c | 128$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed VMI Keydets | 20c | 101.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked VMI Keydets | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked VMI Keydets | 11c | 95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed VMI Keydets | 20c | 60.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…d0f5backed VMI Keydets | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 78c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…afbabacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Carolina Catamounts vs. VMI Keydetsthis page
- Spread: Western Carolina Catamounts (-9.5)Western Carolina Catamounts won
- Western Carolina Catamounts vs. VMI Keydets: O/U 155.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.