CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs FURY (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf531dfd0db5e622038be0529702fb7cee44fff1adb7ed7a68a7fbf18b5cfe527
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURYof MARKandLARRY, FURY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd995…2b51backed MARKandLARRY | 0c | 23,439$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.52 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MARKandLARRY | 71c | 2,366$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.27 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed MARKandLARRY | 38c | 1,966$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.58 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FURY | 52c | 490.71$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.15 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FURY | 48c | 465.26$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.6 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked MARKandLARRY | 77c | 430.69$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed MARKandLARRY | 6c | 333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MARKandLARRY | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked MARKandLARRY | 13c | 270$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed MARKandLARRY | 31c | 235.66$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed FURY | 24c | 234$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.33 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked FURY | 40c | 188.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.88 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed MARKandLARRY | 80c | 184.01$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed MARKandLARRY | 52c | 164.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MARKandLARRY | 77c | 157.17$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.78 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed FURY | 22c | 140$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked MARKandLARRY | 70c | 111.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked FURY | 31c | 94.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed FURY | 31c | 87.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked MARKandLARRY | 62c | 73.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MARKandLARRY | 67c | 64.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FURY | 40c | 61.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed MARKandLARRY | 56c | 60.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed FURY | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 202 | 58.9%119 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed MARKandLARRY | 34c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5283…b53cbacked MARKandLARRY | 75c | 47.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…a9e1backed MARKandLARRY | 69c | 37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked FURY | 53c | 36.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 99 | 70.7%70 W · 29 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs FURY (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs FURY - Map 1 WinnerMARKandLARRY won
- Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs FURY - Map 2 WinnerFURY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.