Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Navone vs Collignon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf566ce6326233d95202567213e92092953b6d396c635d3b3b52550a2309c58bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navoneof Navone, Collignon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Collignon | 19c | 335.49$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.11 | 649 | 45.9%298 W · 351 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Navone | 74c | 180.56$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 5,617 | 48.6%2,729 W · 2,888 L | +13.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Navone | 74c | 159.46$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Collignon | 20c | 158$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Navone | 66c | 110.95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…58e8backed Collignon | 36c | 104$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Collignon | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Collignon | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 577 | 36.7%212 W · 365 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Collignon | 17c | 89.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Collignon | 16c | 68.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Collignon | 16c | 67.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Navone | 38c | 66.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 5,036 | 38.5%1,939 W · 3,097 L | -23.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Navone vs Collignonthis page
- Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael CollignonMariano Navone won
- Set 1 Winner: Navone vs CollignonNavone won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.