Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Simona Waltert vs Himeno Sakatsume
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5739cee009d7fae5312a41c008909199231818f62c883b5c1870b87574cfd9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Himeno Sakatsumeof Simona Waltert, Himeno Sakatsume
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 56c | 6,516$3,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,843.93 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc44…e036backed Simona Waltert | 49c | 4,624$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.9 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Himeno Sakatsume | 67c | 1,186$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.73 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Himeno Sakatsume | 59c | 802.51$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.69 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Simona Waltert | 22c | 800$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.88 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Simona Waltert | 29c | 695.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Simona Waltert | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf334…0606backed Simona Waltert | 30c | 477$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.94 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Simona Waltert | 63c | 451$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.67 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Simona Waltert | 59c | 407.75$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5f…6cecbacked Simona Waltert | 31c | 337.84$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 277 | 49.8%138 W · 139 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Himeno Sakatsume | 65c | 237.27$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…86debacked Simona Waltert | 32c | 197$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 493 | 42.8%211 W · 282 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Simona Waltert | 28c | 192.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Himeno Sakatsume | 44c | 190.34$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.69 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Simona Waltert | 39c | 188.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Himeno Sakatsume | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Simona Waltert | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Simona Waltert | 41c | 171.47$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Himeno Sakatsume | 78c | 163$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Simona Waltert | 56c | 151$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 43c | 145.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Simona Waltert | 42c | 143.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Simona Waltert | 36c | 143.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Simona Waltert | 22c | 140$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…67ebbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Simona Waltert | 57c | 116.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Himeno Sakatsume | 48c | 102.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Simona Waltert | 23c | 101.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Simona Waltert | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Simona Waltert | 33c | 95.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Simona Waltert | 57c | 95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Simona Waltert | 54c | 85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Himeno Sakatsume | 64c | 74.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Himeno Sakatsume | 43c | 71.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Simona Waltert | 21c | 63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Simona Waltert | 24c | 62.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Simona Waltert | 28c | 59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Simona Waltert | 25c | 54.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Himeno Sakatsume | 45c | 49.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Simona Waltert | 25c | 45.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Himeno Sakatsume | 45c | 44.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Simona Waltert | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Himeno Sakatsume | 43c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Himeno Sakatsume | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Himeno Sakatsume | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…3f88backed Himeno Sakatsume | 68c | 16.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.