TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: RKS Raków Częstochowa (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
RKS Raków Częstochowaof RKS Raków Częstochowa, Valletta FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,101
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,101 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4956…e2c7backed Valletta FC63c30,000$18,774 inLost-$18,773.573844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ea6…9223backed Valletta FC0c29,062$31 inLost-$30.811225%3 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-58.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed RKS Raków Częstochowa37c15,692$5,807 inWon+$9,885.152,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked RKS Raków Częstochowa37c5,000$1,850 inWon+$3,1502,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed RKS Raków Częstochowa38c2,960$1,135 inWon+$1,825.323839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked RKS Raków Częstochowa38c1,000$380 inWon+$62011657.8%67 W · 49 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Valletta FC67c862.46$575 inLost-$574.683,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed RKS Raków Częstochowa34c817.13$275 inWon+$542.41,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed RKS Raków Częstochowa40c810$322 inWon+$487.81,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked RKS Raków Częstochowa38c789$300 inWon+$489.1888048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed RKS Raków Częstochowa38c789$300 inWon+$489.181,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed RKS Raków Częstochowa38c619.57$235 inWon+$384.137565.3%49 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+33.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed RKS Raków Częstochowa39c592.88$231 inWon+$361.651,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked RKS Raków Częstochowa38c537.5$204 inWon+$333.755058%29 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed RKS Raków Częstochowa40c418.26$167 inWon+$251.7631856%178 W · 140 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed RKS Raków Częstochowa37c285.86$107 inWon+$178.838144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed RKS Raków Częstochowa39c272.08$107 inWon+$164.762,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed RKS Raków Częstochowa37c270.27$100 inWon+$170.277245.8%33 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked RKS Raków Częstochowa40c239.4$95 inWon+$143.9377855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed RKS Raków Częstochowa41c138$57 inWon+$80.7337043.8%162 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked RKS Raków Częstochowa37c133.78$49 inWon+$84.281850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb7…0acebacked RKS Raków Częstochowa28c121.43$34 inWon+$87.432951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed RKS Raków Częstochowa37c117.57$43 inWon+$74.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed RKS Raków Częstochowa42c105.46$44 inWon+$61.2979354.2%430 W · 363 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked RKS Raków Częstochowa36c78.78$28 inWon+$50.423145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed RKS Raków Częstochowa39c68$27 inWon+$41.482,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Valletta FC56c64.88$36 inLost-$36.3313839.1%54 W · 84 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa07…4730backed RKS Raków Częstochowa37c45.16$17 inWon+$28.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f7…4f7cbacked RKS Raków Częstochowa37c39.86$15 inWon+$25.111050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+77.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Valletta FC56c37.35$21 inLost-$20.7529654.1%160 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Valletta FC67c36.45$24 inLost-$24.3685260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Valletta FC67c31.12$21 inLost-$20.858061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed RKS Raków Częstochowa37c30$11 inWon+$18.913467.9%91 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Valletta FC62c19.33$12 inLost-$11.983354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.