CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5a4b877141eed97a38bb0bbecdf0c270b46dd2eed9e09511b6adcc01deb8558
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof G2 Ares, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked G2 Ares | 50c | 993.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked G2 Ares | 44c | 437.44$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.02 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 346.65$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.46 | 353 | 42.8%151 W · 202 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked G2 Ares | 16c | 287.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Bushido Wildcats | 57c | 284.61$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.38 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked G2 Ares | 40c | 283.94$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.83 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked G2 Ares | 8c | 194$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 Ares | 9c | 186.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked G2 Ares | 24c | 169.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked G2 Ares | 15c | 167.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1764…7acbbacked Bushido Wildcats | 61c | 163.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb434…10d7backed G2 Ares | 36c | 121$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 Ares | 26c | 103.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed G2 Ares | 41c | 103.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed G2 Ares | 33c | 94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Ares | 40c | 76.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 73.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa582…3ac9backed G2 Ares | 41c | 58.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 61c | 56.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 204 | 36.8%75 W · 129 L | -15.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…3467backed Bushido Wildcats | 61c | 54.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed G2 Ares | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…c88bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 69c | 48.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed G2 Ares | 36c | 38.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 528 | 50.6%267 W · 261 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked G2 Ares | 33c | 35.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed G2 Ares | 42c | 33.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 434 | 57.1%248 W · 186 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 409 | 72.4%296 W · 113 L | +38.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66a6…f22bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 66c | 18.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…a296backed Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 17.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +6.0wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageBushido Wildcats won
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.