CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8856eeb8d84253047c0a4aee5a303792089690d62d3f7ea8f6f88ec01ea35e9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof G2 Ares, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Bushido Wildcats | 63c | 1,673$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.3 | 437 | 64.3%281 W · 156 L | +51.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 56c | 466.93$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.52 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked G2 Ares | 54c | 399.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.81 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed G2 Ares | 38c | 393.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.72 | 169 | 49.7%84 W · 85 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 322.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.74 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Bushido Wildcats | 69c | 267.01$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.17 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Ares | 38c | 256.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…ecf5backed G2 Ares | 34c | 229.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.33 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…2501backed G2 Ares | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 58c | 194.7$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…dcb3backed G2 Ares | 62c | 182$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked G2 Ares | 35c | 170.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed G2 Ares | 31c | 140.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 209 | 35.9%75 W · 134 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Bushido Wildcats | 60c | 137$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed G2 Ares | 59c | 128$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 Ares | 39c | 122.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x975d…cc7abacked G2 Ares | 30c | 101.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked G2 Ares | 78c | 93.63$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 1,051 | 57.2%601 W · 450 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked G2 Ares | 42c | 74.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Bushido Wildcats | 28c | 72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked G2 Ares | 39c | 71.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 204 | 36.8%75 W · 129 L | -15.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 52c | 61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 Ares | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bushido Wildcats | 28c | 52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 35c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 43.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 547 | 43.7%239 W · 308 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4c…2200backed Bushido Wildcats | 60c | 42.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Bushido Wildcats | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 505 | 48.1%243 W · 262 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 39.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 528 | 50.6%267 W · 261 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Bushido Wildcats | 58c | 39.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Bushido Wildcats | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 409 | 72.4%296 W · 113 L | +38.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked G2 Ares | 45c | 25.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd396…442cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 63c | 24.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked G2 Ares | 74c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 420 | 37.9%159 W · 261 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked G2 Ares | 74c | 13.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageBushido Wildcats won
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.