Tennis · resolved market
Zadar: Dusan Obradovic vs Duje Ajdukovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5b15f42eb5bd50dfd80fcbe0c536327b4410a1185489a608ee246610ee5c5f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duje Ajdukovicof Dusan Obradovic, Duje Ajdukovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,252 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Dusan Obradovic | 8c | 5,576$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.77 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Dusan Obradovic | 12c | 3,341$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Dusan Obradovic | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Dusan Obradovic | 11c | 610.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Dusan Obradovic | 25c | 560.16$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.92 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Dusan Obradovic | 28c | 360.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dusan Obradovic | 8c | 349.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 74c | 295.31$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Dusan Obradovic | 14c | 225.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…a7c1backed Dusan Obradovic | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Duje Ajdukovic | 78c | 203.85$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Duje Ajdukovic | 73c | 195.69$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Dusan Obradovic | 22c | 183.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Dusan Obradovic | 14c | 171$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Dusan Obradovic | 26c | 160$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Duje Ajdukovic | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Dusan Obradovic | 17c | 106$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Dusan Obradovic | 12c | 100.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Duje Ajdukovic | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Duje Ajdukovic | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Dusan Obradovic | 13c | 84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Dusan Obradovic | 23c | 67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Dusan Obradovic | 26c | 62.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Duje Ajdukovic | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 80c | 56.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dusan Obradovic | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 147 | 46.3%68 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Duje Ajdukovic | 75c | 42.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Dusan Obradovic | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Dusan Obradovic | 30c | 34.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…f519backed Duje Ajdukovic | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Duje Ajdukovic | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Duje Ajdukovic | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…d2b5backed Duje Ajdukovic | 73c | 17.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 416 | 68%283 W · 133 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3780backed Duje Ajdukovic | 71c | 14.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 151 | 63.6%96 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zadar: Dusan Obradovic vs Duje Ajdukovicthis page
- Obradovic vs. Ajdukovic: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Obradovic vs. Ajdukovic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Obradovic vs AjdukovicAjdukovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.