Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Ivory vs Yangon Galacticos (BO5) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5b3713367e821f546f985ba03cf650d53a369579fb38e5ae7cd0318830e16eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yangon Galacticosof Ivory, Yangon Galacticos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ivory | 10c | 841.11$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Ivory | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Ivory | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Ivory | 22c | 230$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…0ca8backed Yangon Galacticos | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yangon Galacticos | 53c | 109.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed Yangon Galacticos | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Yangon Galacticos | 26c | 45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d31…1ff3backed Yangon Galacticos | 37c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Ivory | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Yangon Galacticos | 67c | 30.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Yangon Galacticos | 63c | 23.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yangon Galacticos | 75c | 20.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Ivory vs Yangon Galacticos (BO5) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Ivory vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 2 WinnerYangon Galacticos won
- Dota 2: Ivory vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 3 WinnerYangon Galacticos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.