CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5c2177af95b37eb1b5398b7f81b79361bd00f6f25b3281d9f96f11760b1dc3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Johnny Speedsof ex-Zero Tenacity, Johnny Speeds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 13c | 1,102$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.23 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 49c | 652.94$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.94 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 18c | 578.85$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Johnny Speeds | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Johnny Speeds | 63c | 479.97$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.59 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Johnny Speeds | 51c | 452.94$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.94 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 52c | 400$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 353 | 42.8%151 W · 202 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 37c | 349.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 17c | 320.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 300$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 11c | 269.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe232…6ceabacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 15c | 243.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 18c | 239.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…6099backed Johnny Speeds | 64c | 203.38$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 12c | 201.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked Johnny Speeds | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 14c | 185$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 231 | 29%67 W · 164 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 36c | 173.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 18c | 163$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…e804backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 37c | 144.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf349…3398backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 17c | 107.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Johnny Speeds | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 498 | 43%214 W · 284 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 19c | 78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Johnny Speeds | 50c | 44.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Johnny Speeds | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Johnny Speeds | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 350 | 43.1%151 W · 199 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…614abacked Johnny Speeds | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…f13bbacked Johnny Speeds | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 PlayoffsJohnny Speeds won
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.