CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbeb05fcf776c7f2a3ae350394f10de18b49b8cf2361bfc175a7fe5adcbd05a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Johnny Speedsof ex-Zero Tenacity, Johnny Speeds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 45c | 463.32$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.49 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 33c | 316.1$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…ace5backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 274$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.12 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Johnny Speeds | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 39c | 234.65$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.07 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…e804backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 24c | 199.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Johnny Speeds | 48c | 197.47$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.68 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc104…5faabacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 20c | 197.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 10c | 196.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 20c | 194.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Johnny Speeds | 61c | 190$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 17c | 186.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Johnny Speeds | 70c | 175.53$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 39c | 165$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…7b79backed Johnny Speeds | 56c | 139.45$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 39c | 129.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Johnny Speeds | 58c | 118.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 15c | 111$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 22c | 104.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 167 | 20.4%34 W · 133 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 23c | 88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 25c | 78.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Johnny Speeds | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a51…4ef6backed Johnny Speeds | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Johnny Speeds | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…7824backed Johnny Speeds | 71c | 22.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…31cbbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…27e4backed Johnny Speeds | 73c | 16.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Johnny Speeds | 67c | 15.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Johnny Speeds | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 151 | 57%86 W · 65 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 PlayoffsJohnny Speeds won
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.