Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wyoming Cowboys vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 153.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5e2d4e13b72ef8248f844c9f483c0230325a805d6dbee6ec9483c0de710892a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,591 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 50c | 12,531$6,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,246.08 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Under | 53c | 9,409$4,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,452.99 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 50c | 5,043$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.52 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 2,300$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.51 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 50c | 1,983$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.25 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 1,841$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.57 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 270.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.92 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Under | 60c | 163.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.84 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 47c | 138.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 49c | 123.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 51c | 122.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 122.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 50c | 120.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.38 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 105.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Over | 47c | 76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 52c | 72.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Over | 49c | 60.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 59.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 53.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Over | 54c | 45.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 51c | 45.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Under | 79c | 39.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 34.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 45c | 24.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 153.5this page
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-3.5)Wyoming Cowboys won
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. UNLV Runnin' RebelsUNLV Runnin' Rebels won
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 154.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.