Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ae862bd2b852b04f96bc35277d0ea6af2f399f301d16f25e9ac109d603d8934
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wyoming Cowboysof UNLV Runnin' Rebels, Wyoming Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,480 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 52c | 2,993$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.41 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 52c | 2,931$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.97 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 48c | 2,393$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.69 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Wyoming Cowboys | 48c | 991.26$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 51c | 663.78$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.74 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Wyoming Cowboys | 49c | 408.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.32 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 52c | 293.93$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.08 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Wyoming Cowboys | 49c | 278.31$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.94 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 53c | 274.31$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Wyoming Cowboys | 46c | 227.67$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.6 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Wyoming Cowboys | 47c | 219.1$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.12 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wyoming Cowboys | 48c | 156.82$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Wyoming Cowboys | 53c | 132.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 47c | 126.55$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.07 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wyoming Cowboys | 48c | 121.6$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 52c | 94.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wyoming Cowboys | 50c | 76.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Wyoming Cowboys | 52c | 70.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 55c | 63.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 50c | 58.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Wyoming Cowboys | 46c | 46.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 50c | 44.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Wyoming Cowboys | 47c | 43.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Wyoming Cowboys | 47c | 37.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Wyoming Cowboys | 52c | 29.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 48c | 29.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Wyoming Cowboys | 52c | 27.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 49c | 24.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-3.5)this page
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. UNLV Runnin' RebelsUNLV Runnin' Rebels won
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 153.5Under won
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 154.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.