CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs K27 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6146123854efb27548e6a89c20966fc9740e4b4173e6e3a411defae490c769f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of Team Nemesis, K27
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,714 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x503a…860abacked Team Nemesis | 9c | 1,915$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 1,489$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.26 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 27c | 1,485$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.7 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Nemesis | 17c | 1,120$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.34 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Team Nemesis | 15c | 851.22$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.53 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…6972backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 820.38$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.47 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Nemesis | 16c | 692.29$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.32 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…b6b3backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 552.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 536.9$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.95 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Nemesis | 27c | 457.06$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.79 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked K27 | 57c | 450.2$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.34 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed K27 | 60c | 419.41$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.76 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94ed…f76ebacked K27 | 50c | 413.65$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked K27 | 77c | 409.86$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.57 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Team Nemesis | 44c | 360.2$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.84 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Nemesis | 13c | 320.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…59c8backed K27 | 77c | 276.13$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 275$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 353 | 42.8%151 W · 202 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed Team Nemesis | 11c | 273.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed K27 | 59c | 244.56$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.91 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 217.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a77…7623backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 209$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…e489backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 205$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Nemesis | 15c | 198.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed K27 | 62c | 194$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.35 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Team Nemesis | 13c | 188.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…6847backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 177$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Team Nemesis | 6c | 176$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed K27 | 60c | 165.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.18 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Team Nemesis | 13c | 163.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked K27 | 64c | 160.83$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Nemesis | 11c | 156.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa504…8463backed K27 | 65c | 139$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x852e…c262backed K27 | 59c | 137$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0348…83efbacked K27 | 65c | 137$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x593c…5418backed K27 | 59c | 135$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…80b5backed Team Nemesis | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 121.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef58…99bebacked K27 | 59c | 110$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Team Nemesis | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Team Nemesis | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Team Nemesis | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed K27 | 71c | 99.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 326 | 43.3%141 W · 185 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Nemesis | 16c | 90.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed Team Nemesis | 45c | 88.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed K27 | 68c | 87.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Team Nemesis | 20c | 85.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,087 | 31.9%347 W · 740 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Nemesis | 16c | 76.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a58…b5efbacked Team Nemesis | 42c | 76.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…d32bbacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked K27 | 60c | 60.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 58.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed K27 | 61c | 54.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 50.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed K27 | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…5c97backed K27 | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…d603backed K27 | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Nemesis | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5229…2befbacked K27 | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…5be2backed K27 | 60c | 27.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…c851backed K27 | 60c | 27.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed K27 | 78c | 27.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…ca4ebacked K27 | 61c | 27.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…18eebacked K27 | 61c | 27.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 25.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a12…6450backed K27 | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed K27 | 59c | 22.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed K27 | 60c | 22.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb5…b56dbacked K27 | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0dd…5f78backed K27 | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed K27 | 70c | 16.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked K27 | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked K27 | 77c | 15.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs K27 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs K27 - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs K27 - Map 2 WinnerK27 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.