Cricket · resolved market
T20 European Cup: Romania vs Austria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf628adcd789c2b58f9d809223b7109bd37a080fc6d883388d27a9fcb89d48041
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Austriaof Romania, Austria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fff…9b0abacked Romania | 4c | 699.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Austria | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 106 | 70.8%75 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…4a04backed Romania | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Romania | 39c | 274.19$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.93 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ef…eeaabacked Romania | 44c | 263.47$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.14 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Austria | 70c | 221.36$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5f…6219backed Austria | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Austria | 64c | 152.44$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.96 | 652 | 50.9%332 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Romania | 39c | 131.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b45fbacked Romania | 21c | 108$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…7193backed Romania | 43c | 93.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…b726backed Romania | 31c | 85.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x444a…07adbacked Austria | 75c | 82.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Romania | 25c | 69.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 416 | 47.4%197 W · 219 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Austria | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Romania | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Austria | 57c | 57.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…4adfbacked Romania | 40c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Romania | 42c | 44.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Romania | 46c | 43.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Romania | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a13…7ba3backed Romania | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be7…b89fbacked Austria | 77c | 25.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Austria | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Austria | 66c | 16.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.