Mls · resolved market
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf657d5f0746b30bcc96c166c2cd026a23bcf2ff1965a567dd37149a0a7143d1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b40…2f6abacked Under | 52c | 2,632$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 767.58$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.17 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 48c | 763.24$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.36 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 47c | 599.36$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.7 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 48c | 575.4$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.19 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Over | 52c | 561.11$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.78 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 50c | 481.22$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.61 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 50c | 272.04$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.02 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Over | 52c | 185.18$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 47c | 152.58$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Over | 52c | 138.88$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Over | 48c | 99.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Over | 51c | 94.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Over | 52c | 92.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Over | 52c | 92.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 47c | 79.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Under | 47c | 47.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked Over | 52c | 46.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 44.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…9994backed Over | 51c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed Over | 52c | 37.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Over | 52c | 37.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10af…2d06backed Over | 52c | 37.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…8fb4backed Over | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Over | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.