Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Marist Red Foxes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6b0ad2552416865413c61564504d0f803293ba1341c5408b9ada0ef17cdb298
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marist Red Foxesof Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers, Marist Red Foxes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Marist Red Foxes | 67c | 14,900$9,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,961.81 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 34c | 9,852$3,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,388.98 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 32c | 5,211$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.17 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 17c | 685.88$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 22c | 471$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.62 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Marist Red Foxes | 78c | 461$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.42 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 50c | 400$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Marist Red Foxes | 59c | 168.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Marist Red Foxes | 73c | 122.21$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Marist Red Foxes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marist Red Foxes | 80c | 74.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe2…0b62backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Marist Red Foxes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.35per pick | 44cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Marist Red Foxes | 80c | 16.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.