Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Royer vs. Tsitsipas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6e32ccaf70086b5db1ec78aae484285890418df829ab273f564247a74acd959
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royerof Royer, Tsitsipas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Royer | 58c | 1,381$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.85 | 373 | 30.3%113 W · 260 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Tsitsipas | 27c | 970.91$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Tsitsipas | 70c | 810$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.8 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Tsitsipas | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Tsitsipas | 15c | 471.24$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.83 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Royer | 24c | 437.08$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.68 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Royer | 75c | 400$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Tsitsipas | 32c | 344.53$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Tsitsipas | 30c | 331.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Royer | 76c | 254.04$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Royer | 66c | 208.93$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Tsitsipas | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…e20fbacked Royer | 67c | 110$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…c43abacked Tsitsipas | 19c | 102.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Tsitsipas | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Tsitsipas | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Royer | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Tsitsipas | 54c | 91.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked Royer | 76c | 63.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Royer | 56c | 58.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Royer | 24c | 51.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…0066backed Tsitsipas | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.46per pick | 60cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6023…a142backed Tsitsipas | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…7084backed Royer | 76c | 26.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d4…f1e4backed Tsitsipas | 80c | 21.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Royer | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…5279backed Royer | 75c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked Tsitsipas | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.