NHL · resolved market
KHL: Lada Togliatti vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6eb74c1c3698cca0ead4240186590e93083b4361a898765b59bd84aeffd16c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Salavat Yulaev Ufaof Lada Togliatti, Salavat Yulaev Ufa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 60c | 703.58$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.79 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Lada Togliatti | 43c | 372.09$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Lada Togliatti | 43c | 231.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Lada Togliatti | 44c | 212.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…b883backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 56c | 208.14$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.58 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lada Togliatti | 40c | 204.92$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.31 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 56c | 170$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 59c | 118.39$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 59c | 92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 58c | 67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 58c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Lada Togliatti | 42c | 36.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ac…f0c1backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Lada Togliatti | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 119 | 54.6%65 W · 54 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Lada Togliatti | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Lada Togliatti | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Lada Togliatti | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Lada Togliatti | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Lada Togliatti | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 76c | 27.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 177 | 65.5%116 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Lada Togliatti | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Lada Togliatti | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Lada Togliatti | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Lada Togliatti | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Lada Togliatti | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 79c | 24.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Lada Togliatti | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.