La Liga · resolved market
Burgos CF vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf70d4caedf8ecc5e8c7f23a650f8106665fea957c2b21511f524a79e7827ac60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,026$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.67 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 22c | 553.07$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 474.5$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.58 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…1938backed Under | 59c | 339.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 26c | 298.23$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 38c | 290$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 289.88$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.88 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Over | 33c | 278.56$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Under | 60c | 210$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 35c | 196.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 46c | 149.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 51c | 147.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 27c | 142.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 53c | 107.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 27c | 93.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 49c | 61.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 57.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 44c | 56.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 34c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 62c | 53.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 53c | 42.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 51c | 36.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 21.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burgos CF vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5this page
- Burgos CF vs. FC Andorra: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Burgos CF vs. FC Andorra: O/U 0.5Over won
- Burgos CF vs. FC Andorra: O/U 1.5Under won
- Burgos CF vs. FC Andorra: O/U 3.5Under won
- Burgos CF vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5Under won
- Burgos CF vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Burgos CF (-1.5)FC Andorra won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-1.5)Burgos CF won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-2.5)Burgos CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.