South American Leagues · resolved market
Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf726c4681e02ca51de418c9b2eb773dfe0623179bb0ecd31a8d77024a814f4a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 50c | 5,317$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.57 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 3,013$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.52 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 48c | 2,888$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.7 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 48c | 1,013$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.33 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 542.26$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.13 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 69c | 376.81$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 45c | 256$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.18 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 236.82$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.94 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Over | 56c | 223.57$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 56c | 123.41$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 61c | 103.36$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 99.39$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 59c | 97.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 60c | 91.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 50c | 63.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 43c | 48.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 53c | 46.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 40c | 41.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…04cfbacked Over | 62c | 40.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 38c | 39.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 38c | 39.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 38c | 39.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 48c | 38.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada0…200cbacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 43c | 23.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 49c | 21.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 49c | 21.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 58c | 20.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…924ebacked Under | 64c | 17.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Under | 67c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 1.5this page
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CF Monterrey (-1.5)Atlas FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.