Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rochester: Axel Nefve vs Jerrid Gaines Jr
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf72d68d45e443449b42ca23d8a6cc97f63b1c09fbeb58ed2d9fc306bcd6eea78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jerrid Gaines Jrof Axel Nefve, Jerrid Gaines Jr
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Axel Nefve | 53c | 2,426$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.75 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Jerrid Gaines Jr | 46c | 1,835$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.8 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jerrid Gaines Jr | 46c | 822$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.88 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jerrid Gaines Jr | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Axel Nefve | 54c | 568.86$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.18 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jerrid Gaines Jr | 46c | 512.64$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.83 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Axel Nefve | 48c | 422.06$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Axel Nefve | 48c | 377.68$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.1 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Jerrid Gaines Jr | 44c | 300.37$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.49 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Axel Nefve | 54c | 290$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Axel Nefve | 53c | 269.18$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.56 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Axel Nefve | 54c | 262.56$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.73 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…bcb1backed Jerrid Gaines Jr | 49c | 257.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jerrid Gaines Jr | 44c | 199.43$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.38 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Axel Nefve | 19c | 154.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Jerrid Gaines Jr | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Axel Nefve | 18c | 70.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jerrid Gaines Jr | 44c | 42.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jerrid Gaines Jr | 79c | 35.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Jerrid Gaines Jr | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Axel Nefve | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Axel Nefve | 54c | 23.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…4cc2backed Axel Nefve | 50c | 20.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Jerrid Gaines Jr | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.