South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf756faf26a0c20807367beda7e6008f9c854efe4505ff3efe25a7fe4966d8305
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 78c | 1,417$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.97 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 34c | 1,198$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.59 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,197$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.97 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 20c | 1,074$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.69 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 16c | 1,046$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.35 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 34c | 1,006$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.28 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes | 67c | 738.81$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.81 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 12c | 698.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.38 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Yes | 66c | 598.48$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.48 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 34c | 522.97$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.67 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed Yes | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 40c | 298.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…da37backed Yes | 71c | 280.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.62 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 15c | 235.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 16c | 223.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…4e46backed Yes | 61c | 196.92$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 39c | 193.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 15c | 145.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed Yes | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked No | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked No | 16c | 75.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…f670backed Yes | 67c | 71.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 33c | 62.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 26c | 61.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 17c | 58.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Yes | 66c | 45.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Yes | 65c | 45.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…ae0dbacked Yes | 67c | 37.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 404 | 42.1%170 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed No | 34c | 30.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d9…3ef9backed Yes | 67c | 29.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Yes | 77c | 27.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…5e9fbacked Yes | 61c | 23.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…b899backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Yes | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…0d93backed Yes | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-28?this page
- Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?No won
- Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC win on 2026-04-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.