South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-04-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7658ed827a4bbfdcc324f957333d3483342f1cad48bd924ed7d69619d9b9032
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 23c | 4,828$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.35 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 78c | 1,378$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.07 | 431 | 62.2%268 W · 163 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 19c | 1,057$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.75 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 1,049$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.2 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 1,030$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.13 | 1,702 | 52%885 W · 817 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 1,004$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.72 | 3,446 | 51.4%1,771 W · 1,675 L | +21.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 23c | 953.8$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.37 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 11c | 936.39$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 77c | 788.73$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.41 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 13c | 373.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 223 | 65%145 W · 78 L | +22.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 16c | 359.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 23c | 335.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.91 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 19c | 257.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 15c | 253.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 389 | 39.6%154 W · 235 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 22c | 200.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 216 | 47.2%102 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 80c | 191.33$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 79c | 169.36$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 23c | 116.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 505 | 46.7%236 W · 269 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 19c | 113.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 22c | 106.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 78c | 92.07$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 78c | 92.07$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 17c | 87.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 78c | 63.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 22c | 63.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 22c | 62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 20c | 57.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 929 | 45.1%419 W · 510 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed No | 57c | 45.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 2,648 | 54.2%1,436 W · 1,212 L | +27.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 77c | 32.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 41c | 27.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed No | 78c | 24.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 121 | 58.7%71 W · 50 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 78c | 24.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 79c | 22.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 77c | 20.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…e226backed No | 77c | 19.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-04-22?this page
- Will Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-04-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.