South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22b17edbff443067d546ef8df5b35b6a5071e5701fee44ed5a8bbcd52c48f3c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 7c | 2,363$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.95 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 1,396$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.98 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 758.37$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.61 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 41c | 691.69$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.49 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 12c | 620.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 8c | 602.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 39c | 572.36$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.12 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 455.38$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.43 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 20c | 433.37$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.69 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 72c | 272$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.84 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 48c | 265.11$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.34 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 39c | 241.06$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.65 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 37c | 236.88$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.08 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 28c | 219.69$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.18 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Yes | 28c | 219.69$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.18 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 28c | 219.69$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.18 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 73c | 203.09$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.26 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked No | 41c | 188$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.08 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 177$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes | 28c | 172.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.7 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 75c | 155.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 72c | 150.65$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.47 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 44c | 143.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 38c | 143$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 21c | 125.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…1ad5backed No | 34c | 114.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 108.36$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 27c | 107.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.92 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 98.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 74c | 98.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 46c | 88.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 73c | 85.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 55c | 71.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 27c | 70.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 58c | 63.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 42c | 58.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 52.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 19c | 52.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 26c | 49.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 28c | 48.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed No | 73c | 41.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 66c | 27.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 60c | 27.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 77c | 22.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 72c | 16.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-04-22?No won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-04-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.