CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7adcfa82089581f3ca1c630f7d10b4f3af813319043745789cf57f7f6bb3ef3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Keyd, UNO MILLE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,482 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd | 71c | 2,059$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.87 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed UNO MILLE | 29c | 1,544$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.85 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Keyd | 49c | 841.8$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.4 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked UNO MILLE | 34c | 642.97$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.55 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed UNO MILLE | 28c | 608.44$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.93 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed UNO MILLE | 32c | 469.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.58 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Keyd | 67c | 449.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.52 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UNO MILLE | 54c | 439.81$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.58 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UNO MILLE | 46c | 266.24$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.29 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed UNO MILLE | 30c | 220.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf248…72bfbacked Keyd | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed UNO MILLE | 31c | 172.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…59eabacked UNO MILLE | 8c | 154.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed UNO MILLE | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Keyd | 66c | 133.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked UNO MILLE | 33c | 119.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…674fbacked Keyd | 67c | 111.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b5…2b43backed Keyd | 49c | 111.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked UNO MILLE | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Keyd | 44c | 97.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…a2aabacked Keyd | 76c | 95.73$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Keyd | 68c | 80.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked UNO MILLE | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked UNO MILLE | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Keyd | 46c | 69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed Keyd | 47c | 63.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed UNO MILLE | 41c | 60.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -15.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed UNO MILLE | 25c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed UNO MILLE | 35c | 53.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Keyd | 65c | 42.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…23a0backed UNO MILLE | 58c | 42.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked UNO MILLE | 60c | 41.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked UNO MILLE | 51c | 40.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed UNO MILLE | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed UNO MILLE | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0077…44a7backed UNO MILLE | 54c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Keyd | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked Keyd | 47c | 28.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Keyd | 66c | 20.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Keyd | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Keyd | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…9ae9backed UNO MILLE | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed UNO MILLE | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05d…60fcbacked UNO MILLE | 70c | 18.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2164…fcd4backed Keyd | 79c | 15.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 54 | 83.3%45 W · 9 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Keyd | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Keyd | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 44 | 81.8%36 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs UNO MILLE - Map 1 WinnerUNO MILLE won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.