Lol · resolved market
LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7af756fbc133e0e6c129a6cce552e39bf557fc999ec11803d334777a6f62f99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Forsakenof Forsaken, BOMBA Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BOMBA Team | 6c | 3,844$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.42 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked BOMBA Team | 51c | 3,251$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.01 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Forsaken | 49c | 3,176$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.64 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed BOMBA Team | 3c | 1,110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed BOMBA Team | 5c | 772.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed BOMBA Team | 7c | 464.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BOMBA Team | 24c | 464.29$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Forsaken | 75c | 442.23$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.34 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed BOMBA Team | 4c | 352$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BOMBA Team | 30c | 345.39$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.52 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…f386backed BOMBA Team | 9c | 343.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Forsaken | 55c | 336.08$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.2 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BOMBA Team | 10c | 282.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…45dfbacked BOMBA Team | 17c | 279.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…586cbacked BOMBA Team | 14c | 241.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 269 | 37.5%101 W · 168 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BOMBA Team | 18c | 173.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed BOMBA Team | 6c | 165.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed BOMBA Team | 55c | 108$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0956…d162backed Forsaken | 77c | 62.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed BOMBA Team | 39c | 47.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked BOMBA Team | 55c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Forsaken | 45c | 36.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Forsaken | 53c | 31.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed BOMBA Team | 47c | 30.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed BOMBA Team | 41c | 30.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed BOMBA Team | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.5wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular SeasonForsaken won
- LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 WinnerBOMBA Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.