Lol · resolved market
LoL: NextGeneration Esports vs 3BL Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7e9723b48123483d6ba40e7c2ae4ac4d2fac91e842c0456f8357487eccee47e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NextGeneration Esportsof NextGeneration Esports, 3BL Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed 3BL Esports | 47c | 4,746$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.79 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked NextGeneration Esports | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed NextGeneration Esports | 55c | 1,550$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.3 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed NextGeneration Esports | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed 3BL Esports | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed 3BL Esports | 44c | 945.18$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.58 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked NextGeneration Esports | 54c | 699.06$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.26 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked NextGeneration Esports | 55c | 577$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.65 | 668 | 43%287 W · 381 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed 3BL Esports | 46c | 387$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.01 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed NextGeneration Esports | 56c | 337.88$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.29 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…52bebacked 3BL Esports | 42c | 317.97$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.55 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked NextGeneration Esports | 53c | 283.43$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed NextGeneration Esports | 58c | 248.28$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.28 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed NextGeneration Esports | 56c | 220.58$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 225 | 36.9%83 W · 142 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed NextGeneration Esports | 57c | 207$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed NextGeneration Esports | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked NextGeneration Esports | 56c | 167.86$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.86 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed NextGeneration Esports | 56c | 140$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed 3BL Esports | 49c | 109.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 249 | 39%97 W · 152 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked NextGeneration Esports | 51c | 96.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NextGeneration Esports | 52c | 84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked NextGeneration Esports | 54c | 73.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed NextGeneration Esports | 58c | 69.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed 3BL Esports | 47c | 51.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed 3BL Esports | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…31ebbacked 3BL Esports | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed 3BL Esports | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed 3BL Esports | 49c | 41.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked 3BL Esports | 46c | 38.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed 3BL Esports | 46c | 32.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x152b…9430backed NextGeneration Esports | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked NextGeneration Esports | 76c | 26.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed NextGeneration Esports | 80c | 22.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked 3BL Esports | 46c | 21.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…9055backed NextGeneration Esports | 79c | 20.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked NextGeneration Esports | 50c | 20.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: NextGeneration Esports vs 3BL Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Group Stagethis page
- LoL: NextGeneration Esports vs 3BL Esports - Game 1 Winner3BL Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.