Tennis · resolved market
ITF Alkmaar: Marc Majdandzic vs Ryo Tabata
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf806878019dd49916299892cac9be70c2ec908b26722309af6e8631bc79949cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marc Majdandzicof Marc Majdandzic, Ryo Tabata
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ryo Tabata | 28c | 3,884$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.76 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ryo Tabata | 41c | 932$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.12 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…5369backed Marc Majdandzic | 72c | 688.22$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.7 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ryo Tabata | 56c | 528$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.45 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Marc Majdandzic | 42c | 425.06$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.06 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ryo Tabata | 56c | 313.24$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.96 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Marc Majdandzic | 43c | 258$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.75 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Ryo Tabata | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Ryo Tabata | 66c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Ryo Tabata | 34c | 55.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 627 | 49.4%310 W · 317 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Marc Majdandzic | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Marc Majdandzic | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Marc Majdandzic | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Ryo Tabata | 23c | 48.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Ryo Tabata | 56c | 44.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 95 | 20%19 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Ryo Tabata | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ryo Tabata | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Marc Majdandzic | 39c | 38.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Marc Majdandzic | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.