Mls · resolved market
Will MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf82c431fa8b8ef9a9cc63865cca4b318f14cb555ce528e91977f165be90f1a6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 6c | 2,510$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.2 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 17c | 2,019$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.59 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 21c | 1,463$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.86 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked Yes | 20c | 984.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 7c | 867.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…c40bbacked Yes | 9c | 674.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 18c | 599.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 18c | 581.4$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 3c | 379.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf77a…d17bbacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed Yes | 10c | 320.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 18c | 241.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 106 | 12.3%13 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 72c | 235$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 75c | 148.42$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 18c | 138$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…6f02backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 46c | 115$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 21c | 98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd1…a583backed Yes | 22c | 67.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…cc48backed No | 73c | 42.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars end in a draw?this page
- Will Liga MX All-Stars win on 2026-07-29?No won
- Will MLS All-Stars win on 2026-07-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.