CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Passion UA (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf844f18aea2bb06be05711db00a766fc7ae89aa73c21e5cacba9b461cc7fa90d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sangalof Sangal, Passion UA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Sangal | 50c | 1,173$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.55 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sangal | 45c | 1,170$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.14 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Passion UA | 50c | 795.08$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.28 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5615…3199backed Passion UA | 45c | 780.42$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sangal | 49c | 736.35$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.15 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked Sangal | 42c | 690.92$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.04 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Passion UA | 59c | 499.43$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.54 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…d538backed Passion UA | 58c | 461.15$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.58 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Passion UA | 60c | 453.99$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.39 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2804…85e7backed Passion UA | 70c | 368.62$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sangal | 48c | 343.35$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed Passion UA | 50c | 299.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1b…e271backed Sangal | 50c | 278.45$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.75 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed Passion UA | 39c | 253.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -18.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Sangal | 40c | 241.4$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…ab54backed Sangal | 40c | 221.72$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.03 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Passion UA | 65c | 199.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed Passion UA | 28c | 192.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Passion UA | 51c | 190.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1e…9d4cbacked Sangal | 14c | 158.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…76d7backed Sangal | 62c | 151.47$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Sangal | 45c | 146.61$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.11 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Passion UA | 63c | 135.95$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed Passion UA | 63c | 127.21$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Sangal | 38c | 122.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Sangal | 44c | 117.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked Sangal | 14c | 115.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.04 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Sangal | 50c | 112.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Passion UA | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…daf0backed Passion UA | 60c | 98.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 130 | 60%78 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Sangal | 35c | 96.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.53 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd631…e289backed Sangal | 65c | 82.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Sangal | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Sangal | 60c | 61.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Passion UA | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sangal | 50c | 59.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4048…d4adbacked Passion UA | 50c | 54.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x74fd…6c13backed Sangal | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…5bbfbacked Passion UA | 45c | 47.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Sangal | 58c | 47.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 265 | 64.2%170 W · 95 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…c22ebacked Sangal | 31c | 46.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…89b6backed Passion UA | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 180 | 61.7%111 W · 69 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Sangal | 59c | 45.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 230 | 38.3%88 W · 142 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Passion UA | 36c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Passion UA | 69c | 38.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…1d32backed Passion UA | 35c | 37.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed Sangal | 55c | 37.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…b08bbacked Passion UA | 39c | 37.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -10.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f8…5a82backed Passion UA | 56c | 36.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Sangal | 45c | 33.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Passion UA | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Passion UA | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…df3ebacked Sangal | 62c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Sangal | 48c | 29.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d5…5bbebacked Passion UA | 70c | 28.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Sangal | 51c | 25.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa336…9ebcbacked Passion UA | 63c | 24.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…046bbacked Passion UA | 79c | 24.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Passion UA | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Passion UA | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Sangal | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1f…8eb3backed Passion UA | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Passion UA (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Passion UA - Map 2 WinnerSangal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.