Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Tabilo vs Griekspoor
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf868d8063e8b2def127fe1ecdc66e7b7e13a53717b3309ab38b3dc401c0be8a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tabiloof Tabilo, Griekspoor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Tabilo | 59c | 1,054$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.1 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Griekspoor | 40c | 927.15$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.95 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Griekspoor | 54c | 231.07$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.68 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -18.8wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tabilo | 45c | 210.68$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.63 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Tabilo | 49c | 173.87$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Tabilo | 45c | 164.07$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Griekspoor | 80c | 144.84$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.87 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Griekspoor | 54c | 125$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…9169backed Griekspoor | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Griekspoor | 24c | 94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tabilo | 20c | 92.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f90backed Griekspoor | 61c | 85.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Griekspoor | 52c | 81.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Griekspoor | 53c | 75.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Griekspoor | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 415 | 44.3%184 W · 231 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Tabilo | 49c | 61.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Tabilo | 77c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Griekspoor | 59c | 48.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7519…4d28backed Tabilo | 47c | 45.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Tabilo | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Tabilo vs Griekspoorthis page
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon GriekspoorAlejandro Tabilo won
- Set 2 Winner: Tabilo vs GriekspoorGriekspoor won
- Set Handicap: Griekspoor (-1.5) vs Tabilo (+1.5)Tabilo won
- Set Handicap: Tabilo (-1.5) vs Griekspoor (+1.5)Griekspoor won
- Tabilo vs. Griekspoor: Match O/U 23.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.