CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Players vs Alzon - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8a60a1cd8bd2bed1903efb126eadbe633c535723f28648c742420463e14ebf9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Playersof Players, Alzon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e2b…19a4backed Alzon | 1c | 4,303$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Players | 61c | 2,634$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.06 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Alzon | 63c | 2,632$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.52 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Players | 37c | 1,410$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.67 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Alzon | 77c | 1,301$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Alzon | 39c | 1,225$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.63 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Players | 52c | 1,158$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.46 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Players | 52c | 988.72$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.85 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Alzon | 46c | 600$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.68 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Alzon | 4c | 478$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alzon | 14c | 404.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Players | 43c | 286.58$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.01 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Alzon | 47c | 150.2$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Players | 23c | 130$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Alzon | 32c | 128.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Alzon | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alzon | 32c | 91.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Players | 71c | 90.04$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Alzon | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Alzon | 29c | 81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Alzon | 31c | 62.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Alzon | 39c | 58.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Players | 21c | 57.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Alzon | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Alzon | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Alzon | 55c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Players | 54c | 41.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Alzon | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked Alzon | 40c | 38.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…b794backed Players | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Alzon | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Players | 55c | 30.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Players | 64c | 29.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Players vs Alzon - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Players vs Alzon (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group StageAlzon won
- Counter-Strike: Players vs Alzon - Map 2 WinnerAlzon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.