Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Leicester City FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8d359a9516ca3d71309a662c023e1109ca38a955854834f28a80c3daf0eb239
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portsmouth FCof Leicester City FC, Portsmouth FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41f5…60d0backed Leicester City FC | 3c | 709.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…a4ccbacked Portsmouth FC | 50c | 220.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d2…ba63backed Portsmouth FC | 50c | 216.26$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b06…3ef9backed Portsmouth FC | 50c | 215.55$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6c…a200backed Portsmouth FC | 50c | 215.49$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a23…e8a9backed Portsmouth FC | 50c | 213.76$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8422…5907backed Portsmouth FC | 50c | 213.38$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…0d38backed Portsmouth FC | 50c | 211.37$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…c7c0backed Portsmouth FC | 50c | 207.13$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeee…c51bbacked Portsmouth FC | 50c | 205.02$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce12…e22ebacked Portsmouth FC | 50c | 204.77$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…f452backed Portsmouth FC | 50c | 195.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382b…7f14backed Portsmouth FC | 50c | 195.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0836…3057backed Portsmouth FC | 50c | 194.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e4…afeabacked Portsmouth FC | 50c | 191.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…65bfbacked Portsmouth FC | 50c | 186.78$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-2.5)this page
- Portsmouth FC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)Portsmouth FC won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-1.5)Leicester City FC won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-2.5)Leicester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.