Premier League · resolved market
Portsmouth FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6be67d32d64290a9e38fc5f628c1e6f9965a0e7b8e72ca12baf7198bee053e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 1,845$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.76 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 1,062$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.81 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 931.08$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.99 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 30c | 881.89$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…ae44backed Over | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 70c | 713.3$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 69c | 450$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.5 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 381.94$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.86 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…c1e5backed Over | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 31c | 289$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.41 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 276.43$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.71 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 69c | 274.5$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.41 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…a56fbacked Under | 44c | 227.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d3…cbf2backed Over | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 32c | 168.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.91 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 59c | 134.03$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 38c | 104.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Over | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 32c | 95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e6…819fbacked Over | 34c | 88.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 28c | 64.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 54c | 64.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…3f86backed Over | 63c | 57.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 67c | 54.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9413…bc8cbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 69c | 48.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec5…9bc4backed Under | 33c | 45.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 32cpaid | +157.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 70c | 42.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 48c | 41.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 38.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 38c | 36.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 55c | 36.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 41c | 26.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 64c | 21.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Over | 69c | 14.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portsmouth FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Portsmouth FC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)Portsmouth FC won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-2.5)Portsmouth FC won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-1.5)Leicester City FC won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-2.5)Leicester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.