Premier League · resolved market
Portsmouth FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9f01702f958f7c9f4db6d5706c4e276e484dfa31f493a7d9316ba8afda0353a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 44c | 456.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 56c | 226.25$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.81 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 173.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 158.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 38c | 95.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 91.77$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 51.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 58c | 49.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 42c | 34.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 58c | 34.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 41c | 33.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 42c | 28.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 43c | 28.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 58c | 17.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portsmouth FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Portsmouth FC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)Portsmouth FC won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-2.5)Portsmouth FC won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-1.5)Leicester City FC won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-2.5)Leicester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.