Asian League · resolved market
Will Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf903597ca8cc579e2e18e1dfe4f5460eec3c82705dff4dd7bb89c9322079afbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 820.56$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.92 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 745.74$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.89 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 68c | 603.23$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 491.79$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.47 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 29c | 416$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 9c | 367.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 30c | 314.13$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.13 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 70c | 213.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 9c | 198.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 198.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 191.59$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5247…ece7backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb353…022abacked No | 72c | 124.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 18c | 109.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 83.66$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 77.72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 70c | 69.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…dceabacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 64.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -46%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…12b2backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 29c | 49.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 70c | 35.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 70c | 30.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-08-01?Yes won
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-08-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.