Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rice Owls vs. Pepperdine Waves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf90f6fcaba77aacf2b76dda3116672278a2aa68849ac54617b2c170e2f207b4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pepperdine Wavesof Rice Owls, Pepperdine Waves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pepperdine Waves | 63c | 1,037$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.03 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rice Owls | 54c | 854$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.37 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pepperdine Waves | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.5 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rice Owls | 41c | 398.76$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.53 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rice Owls | 37c | 315.52$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.24 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Rice Owls | 14c | 313.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pepperdine Waves | 48c | 294.62$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.3 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pepperdine Waves | 45c | 291.83$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.54 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Rice Owls | 52c | 280$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Pepperdine Waves | 58c | 167.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.78 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rice Owls | 37c | 160.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rice Owls | 34c | 119$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rice Owls | 53c | 60.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156f…6887backed Rice Owls | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Rice Owls | 52c | 37.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Pepperdine Waves | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pepperdine Waves | 48c | 27.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rice Owls | 47c | 23.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Rice Owls | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.