NHL · resolved market
KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. Dinamo Minsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9265b7a573b71a00a002a2458755b39421666cb4a99ed4864649e31578d2d35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dinamo Minskof SKA St. Petersburg, Dinamo Minsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e81…64efbacked Dinamo Minsk | 56c | 1,570$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f83…7a2bbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 43c | 1,344$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked SKA St. Petersburg | 42c | 1,206$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.11 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Dinamo Minsk | 58c | 733.82$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.2 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…5c9fbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 44c | 533$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…2cd7backed SKA St. Petersburg | 44c | 521$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4d…465fbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 44c | 516$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf326…3149backed Dinamo Minsk | 57c | 463$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4260…22f2backed Dinamo Minsk | 57c | 456$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Dinamo Minsk | 59c | 429.3$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.01 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa239…b9f2backed Dinamo Minsk | 57c | 425$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 43c | 316.67$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Dinamo Minsk | 57c | 213.59$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.84 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed SKA St. Petersburg | 44c | 110$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Dinamo Minsk | 56c | 101.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Dinamo Minsk | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…ea58backed Dinamo Minsk | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed SKA St. Petersburg | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked SKA St. Petersburg | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Dinamo Minsk | 57c | 31.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Dinamo Minsk | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.