CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf93d5a5a91358d9f18a86f76e6b38a1381e39305fd2fb60cc4173e8151d104a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, TNC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ex-RUBY | 68c | 1,314$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.44 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ex-RUBY | 70c | 497.58$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.02 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed TNC | 32c | 477.68$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.86 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY | 77c | 455.63$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.89 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked TNC | 30c | 299.42$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TNC | 22c | 218.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed TNC | 32c | 194.84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked TNC | 32c | 188.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…8f2ebacked TNC | 32c | 149.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked TNC | 32c | 105.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8d…6fe9backed TNC | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270f…eb5ebacked TNC | 32c | 89.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked TNC | 25c | 85.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed TNC | 24c | 74.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed TNC | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed TNC | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked ex-RUBY | 72c | 41.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed TNC | 31c | 40.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed TNC | 31c | 38.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked ex-RUBY | 71c | 27.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed ex-RUBY | 69c | 25.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed ex-RUBY | 72c | 22.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUBY | 77c | 21.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs TNC - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs TNC - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.