Tennis · resolved market
Bloomfield Hills: Michael Zheng vs Abedallah Shelbayh
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf96193ab7e4b8da20cfe1ac97938d70d89fa581a03ab73302fbfd400cadfc886
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michael Zhengof Michael Zheng, Abedallah Shelbayh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 7c | 24,548$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.89 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 12c | 3,718$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.18 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 15c | 725$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.69 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…6eb7backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 19c | 453.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 12c | 440.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 9c | 361.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 8c | 255.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 21c | 236.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Michael Zheng | 78c | 200.97$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 11c | 189.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 20c | 179.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 7c | 155$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 17c | 147$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 332 | 35.2%117 W · 215 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Michael Zheng | 80c | 141$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked Michael Zheng | 78c | 140$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 207 | 63.3%131 W · 76 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Michael Zheng | 78c | 128.86$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 13c | 128$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 18c | 108.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 18c | 84.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Michael Zheng | 78c | 83.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 22c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…acd4backed Michael Zheng | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed Michael Zheng | 79c | 57.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Michael Zheng | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 22c | 48.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Michael Zheng | 78c | 38.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…61babacked Michael Zheng | 79c | 35.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Michael Zheng | 78c | 25.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…4ea6backed Michael Zheng | 78c | 25.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Michael Zheng | 78c | 25.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Michael Zheng | 78c | 19.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Michael Zheng | 78c | 16.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 318 | 41.8%133 W · 185 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Michael Zheng | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Michael Zheng | 77c | 13.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.