Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Buse (-1.5) vs Nava (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf97bb377008146668682507c34a4122890bd8bcfdbb36a01f6bc688f1b5b87a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buseof Buse, Nava
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Buse | 48c | 334.78$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.78 | 1,579 | 39.8%629 W · 950 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Buse | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 546 | 41.6%227 W · 319 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Nava | 53c | 174$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nava | 60c | 132.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Nava | 51c | 130.78$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Buse | 35c | 128.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nava | 70c | 125$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nava | 56c | 125$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Buse | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nava | 55c | 95.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Buse | 45c | 75.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 154 | 40.9%63 W · 91 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Nava | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4846…32e0backed Buse | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Nava | 52c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 568 | 48.9%278 W · 290 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Buse | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nava | 54c | 38.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Buse | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Nava | 55c | 28.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 190 | 64.7%123 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…b838backed Nava | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Nava | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Buse (-1.5) vs Nava (+1.5)this page
- Emilio Nava vs. Ignacio Buse: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Nava vs. Buse: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Nava vs BuseBuse won
- Set 3 Winner: Nava vs BuseBuse won
- Set Handicap: Buse (-2.5) vs Nava (+2.5)Nava won
- Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio BuseIgnacio Buse won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.