Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf99405460fe09eab78d86294eca50956c4cf7bd5080d3ef7a5811dc09f31965f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 7c | 3,982$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.7 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 3,929$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.61 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 77c | 3,041$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.76 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…1cb6backed No | 77c | 2,587$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 20c | 2,184$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.02 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked No | 75c | 999.99$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 2c | 852.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 486.86$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.29 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 14c | 461.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 7c | 405$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1397…c72abacked No | 75c | 398.15$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 237.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.03 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 26c | 196.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 177.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 138.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed No | 74c | 136$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 101.2$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed No | 78c | 100.61$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 27c | 96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 90.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9c…0aa3backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Yes | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Yes | 23c | 48.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 44.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 73c | 43.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4d…c5e1backed No | 75c | 33.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…5ee7backed No | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
- Will Kocaelispor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.