La Liga · resolved market
Sevilla FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa04db94367fcd05178817cc6f2e8830b37ec74f6fdb512f9517e7a7a6206f08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 28c | 19,048$5,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,426.79 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 71c | 10,349$7,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.83 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 2,448$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.82 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 72c | 1,850$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.98 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 72c | 946.2$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.94 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Yes | 8c | 588.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 7c | 518.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 317.33$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.02 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 72c | 259$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 259$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 12c | 156.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 232 | 32.8%76 W · 156 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Yes | 28c | 68.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 54.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sevilla FC leading at halftime?this page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?Yes won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.