Tennis · resolved market
Transylvania Open: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Daria Snigur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa32073712c6c094ff1f3a83b5247b988cd63e4ace30f64bfbfb3ce615aeb740
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Snigurof Rakotomanga, Snigur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Rakotomanga | 26c | 4,130$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.79 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Rakotomanga | 23c | 3,109$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.99 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Rakotomanga | 8c | 2,024$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.89 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Snigur | 74c | 1,099$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.74 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Snigur | 77c | 944.96$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.14 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Snigur | 74c | 746.75$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.15 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Snigur | 74c | 448.17$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.95 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Snigur | 74c | 440.92$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.64 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Snigur | 74c | 408.72$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.27 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Rakotomanga | 4c | 401.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Snigur | 76c | 349$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.84 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Snigur | 74c | 319$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Rakotomanga | 6c | 310.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Rakotomanga | 26c | 271.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Snigur | 74c | 222.5$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…96f0backed Rakotomanga | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Rakotomanga | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…e6cfbacked Snigur | 74c | 216.22$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Rakotomanga | 24c | 208.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Snigur | 76c | 202.19$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Rakotomanga | 25c | 201.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Rakotomanga | 11c | 200.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Rakotomanga | 14c | 189.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Rakotomanga | 23c | 127.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Snigur | 75c | 101.2$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked Snigur | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Snigur | 80c | 97.42$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…ed3abacked Snigur | 79c | 94.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 106 | 68.9%73 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rakotomanga | 24c | 88.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rakotomanga | 23c | 78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Rakotomanga | 22c | 74.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Snigur | 75c | 66.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Snigur | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rakotomanga | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Rakotomanga | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Snigur | 79c | 32.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Snigur | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Snigur | 77c | 29.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Snigur | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 144 | 75%108 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Snigur | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Snigur | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Snigur | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed64…7c2ebacked Snigur | 79c | 13.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Transylvania Open: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Daria Snigurthis page
- Rakotomanga vs. Snigur: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Rakotomanga vs. Snigur: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Rakotomanga vs SnigurSnigur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.