Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Madison Brengle vs Talia Gibson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaba4de8590b198cb76d2f1fd24cce2c3580fc242bd2ff47556425018dd768e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Talia Gibsonof Madison Brengle, Talia Gibson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Madison Brengle | 9c | 2,784$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.28 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Madison Brengle | 8c | 1,178$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Madison Brengle | 3c | 941.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Madison Brengle | 7c | 826.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Madison Brengle | 6c | 699$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Madison Brengle | 35c | 565.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Madison Brengle | 12c | 479.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Talia Gibson | 79c | 439.25$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.27 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Madison Brengle | 9c | 297.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Madison Brengle | 9c | 213.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Madison Brengle | 7c | 138.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Madison Brengle | 30c | 118.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Talia Gibson | 68c | 103.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Talia Gibson | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Madison Brengle | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Madison Brengle | 33c | 96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Talia Gibson | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Talia Gibson | 67c | 79.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Madison Brengle | 25c | 73.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Talia Gibson | 80c | 60.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe00c…178bbacked Talia Gibson | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Talia Gibson | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Madison Brengle vs Talia Gibsonthis page
- Set Handicap: Gibson (-1.5) vs Brengle (+1.5)Gibson won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.