TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Asuncion: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Hernando Escurra

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pedro Boscardin Diasof Pedro Boscardin Dias, Hernando Escurra
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,284

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,284 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Hernando Escurra0c4,561$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.262,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hernando Escurra10c3,375$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.226,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hernando Escurra10c3,006$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.222,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Hernando Escurra12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019938.2%76 W · 123 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Hernando Escurra9c2,081$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.421,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Hernando Escurra11c1,758$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.371,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f9…62bfbacked Hernando Escurra12c1,083$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.951637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hernando Escurra10c964$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.231,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x554b…d986backed Hernando Escurra15c752.67$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Hernando Escurra16c702.12$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.344,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Hernando Escurra13c700.15$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5214028.6%40 W · 100 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Hernando Escurra11c683.13$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.631,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Hernando Escurra25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15061924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pedro Boscardin Dias75c544.78$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.849,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Hernando Escurra8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015724.8%39 W · 118 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Hernando Escurra25c477.35$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.223429.1%68 W · 166 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Hernando Escurra20c321$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5873745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Hernando Escurra6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1829636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Hernando Escurra20c264$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1626941.3%111 W · 158 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Hernando Escurra5c257.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.611,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Hernando Escurra23c227.65$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8224350.2%122 W · 121 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Hernando Escurra23c221.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4436333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hernando Escurra7c209.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.631,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Hernando Escurra14c195.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.711717.6%3 W · 14 L-5.1wins-0.30per pick48cpaid-67.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xab1f…8422backed Hernando Escurra6c172.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3440%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Hernando Escurra11c163.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1869350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pedro Boscardin Dias79c152.64$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.96,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Hernando Escurra16c148.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.693,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xe82d…adc8backed Hernando Escurra8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Hernando Escurra13c102.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7754634.4%188 W · 358 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Hernando Escurra16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630844.5%137 W · 171 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e2a…c0d8backed Hernando Escurra11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-44.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Hernando Escurra13c98.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.761,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Hernando Escurra13c86.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.311,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Hernando Escurra24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020758%120 W · 87 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pedro Boscardin Dias79c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.62,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14de…489cbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias78c53.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0116870.8%119 W · 49 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.