Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Blockx
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfae89cbf5eae28b645494c14ecb354add2000ab92d8a2751580ac18cf1d82359
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blockxof Cobolli, Blockx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blockx | 43c | 999.74$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.51 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Cobolli | 60c | 973.1$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.67 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…a95bbacked Cobolli | 57c | 857.77$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.03 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Cobolli | 72c | 751.57$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.66 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Blockx | 40c | 683.07$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.27 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Blockx | 38c | 274.19$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Cobolli | 62c | 267.94$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.12 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555a…6ee2backed Blockx | 74c | 264.35$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Blockx | 47c | 194.19$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.69 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Blockx | 39c | 190.92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.46 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x947f…fb99backed Cobolli | 44c | 180.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -65%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…2dedbacked Cobolli | 67c | 157.94$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.53 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Blockx | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Cobolli | 33c | 127.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Cobolli | 24c | 115.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Blockx | 31c | 80$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 246 | 32.9%81 W · 165 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Blockx | 79c | 73.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Blockx | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…e118backed Cobolli | 34c | 62.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…62f1backed Cobolli | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Blockx | 64c | 52.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Blockx | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Blockx | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…b86cbacked Cobolli | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Blockx | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Cobolli | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b3…48b6backed Cobolli | 60c | 29.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Blockxthis page
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Blockx: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander BlockxAlexander Blockx won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)Blockx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.